vendredi, novembre 10, 2006

TECHNICAL WEEKLY 10112006

Equities
The DJ Euro Stoxx 50 has now reached my target around 4070-4100, which was a 138.2% retracement of the May-June sell off.
Indicators are now overbought on all time frames and the daily ones (see RSI on the chart below) are diverging from price and already falling.

A correction could occur soon, but as you can see on the chart below the trend is still up and such a decline could provide another buying opportunity.

















Commodities
Brent
As the Brent is approaching his long-term support channel (weekly chart, not showed here), I believe it could rebound from oversold condition.
Recently the TD Combo indicator gave a buy signal and as you can see on the chart, each signal (pink 13-arrows) was followed by a strong move.


















Gold
Is trying to break above resistance around 630$.
A break above this level would be technically very positive because:
1)the recent “sell off” could be a bear trap.
2)The next target is the uptrend-line of the rising channel, which implies a huge gain in the coming months for gold.


















German 10 Year Yield
Yields continue to be volatile and extremely difficult to trade.
The breakout above 3.8 was a bull trap and yields could now soon testing the support zone around 3.65.

















Euro-dollar
I'm watching closely the rate, because the big move I anticipated is developing.
A breakout above the 1.29 level would trigger another acceleration and validate a bullish ascending triangle.

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